Steve Talks Shite No 2

Growing up in the 1970’s /early 80’s I looked forward more than anything to the annual end of season Internationals. The “Home Internationals” were a 4 Nation tournament contested by the 4 Nations that make up the United Kingdom. England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland. They were very competitive and always exciting.

The match I always looked forward to was of course against the “Auld Enemy”, Scotland. It seemed we took it in turns to win, home advange being huge. They started in 1883/84 all the way through to 1983/84. Some notable matches had taken place during the history nof this tournament. The tragedy at Ibrox in 1902, where 25 were killed and 100’s injured when the stand collasped due to overcrowding.

In 1967 after Scotland had beaten the World Cup winners 3-2 at Wembley, the Scots invaded the pitch and then declared themselves the new “World Champions”.

The 1981 tournament was declared void after England and Wales refused to travel to Belfast to play because of the civil unrest.

The 1984 Home Internationals wewre the last after England and Scotland declared they would no longer take part. Due to waning interest in these games, crowded fixtures and hooliganism. The thing that springs to my mind is; “You don’t know what you’ve got ’til it’s gone”

The memory I have from these games is how hard it was to beat Scotland, and the pitch invasion in ’77.
The Scots beat England 2-1 at Wembley, they invaded the pitch, dug up the turf and snapped the crossbar. That showed what these games meant.

 

Scotland and Manchester United centre-half Gordon McQueen (who scored the first goal) summed it up nicely:
“It seemed like the whole of Scotland had turned up to see us beat England, it was crazy… we could smell whisky fumes as we walked out at Wembley”.

Scotland and Manchester United centre-half Gordon McQueen (who scored the first goal) summed it up nicely:
“It seemed like the whole of Scotland had turned up to see us beat England, it was crazy… we could smell whisky fumes as we walked out at Wembley”.

2019

  • David Marshall (Wigan)
  • Liam Palmer (Sheff Wednesday)
  • Michael Devlin (Aberdeen)
  • Charlie Mulgrew (Wigan)
  • Andrew Robertson (c) (Liverpool)
  • Callum McGregor (Celtic)
  • John Fleck (Sheff Utd)
  • Ryan Fraser (Bournemouth)
  • John McGinn (Aston Villa)
  • Robert Snodgrass (West Ham)
  • Oliver Burke (Alavés)

1982

  • Alan Rough (Hibs)
  • Willie Miller (Aberdeen)
  • David Narey (Dundee Utd)
  • Alan Hansen (Liverpool)
  • Frank Gray (Leeds Utd)
  • Gordon Scrachan (Aberdeen)
  • Graeme Souness (c) (Liverpool)
  • John Ward (Ipswich)
  • Steve Archibald (Spurs)
  • Joe Jordan (AC Milan)
  • John Robertson (Nott Forest)

Some context. The 2019 team has 1 world class player, possibly the best left back in Europe. Andy Robertson. 1 Celtic player and McGinn from Villa who is highly rated.
The fact that I don’t know too much about the rest speaks volumes. 

The 1982 team is full of leaders. Miller, describers as Sir Alex Ferguson as “the best penalty box defender in Europe” SAF knows a good player when he sees one.
Hansen (Liverpool) 3 European cups, 4 titles, 2 FA cups and 4 league cups. Frank Gray, (Leeds Ltd) European Cup. Souness (Liverpool) 3 x European cups, 5x titles, 3 x league cups. John Walk (Ipswich) European Cup in ’84. Steve Archibald 2 x FA Cups, UEFA Cup in ’83 before going to Barcelona. Joe Jordan (legend),. John Robertson (mainstay of the European champions Notts Forest)

Then these was the subs bench ; McGrain, Brazil (big Al that is), McLeish. Sturrock.

In 1982, This squad was highly decorated. look at the players and the honours that had amassed in their careers. Remember too that Aberdeen were under Sir Alex considered one of Europes top sides. 

What about Dalglish, McCoist. Jimmy Jonestone, Law, McQueen, Gemmill, Billy Bremner?  And I know I have missed a few out too. That production line of gear players was almost endless. But it stopped and it stopped abruptly. The reason to me is obvious.

The influx of players from overseas mean the opportunities and the development of young talent from North of the Border is very limited. I for one regret that.

There is no trading angle here, just some observations that may bring back happy (or sad) memories from a time gone by. as I get older the nostalgia kicks in. I fear the worst for Scotland, I can’t see it ever coming back. I hope I am wrong.

Cheers
Steve

Steve Talks Shite No1

In my very first “Steve talks shite” post I feel the need to comment on something I heard in the car this morning. Now I have to say that I am a big Talksport fan. I love sport and I can usually be found watching, listening, trading or talking about it. (Never playing it though unfortunately!).

I do a fair amount of driving these days, and Talksport is always on in the car. This morning I was listening to Alan Brazil’s sports breakfast. He has a different guest presenter on each day. My favourites are Ally McCoist and Ian “Ollie” Holloway. Both have some great stories and offer a good informed opinion. One of my least favourite people is “Big Sam” Allardyce. This man is out of work for a reason, and football fans all over Britain are grateful of that. We all fear when our manager goes that he will get the job of making our team play fucking boring football from the 1990’s.

Over the past couple of weeks there have been “callers” on AB’s show. Supposedly Man Utd fans, saying they would welcome Big Sam taking over. Are these genuine? Brazil is big mates with Sam, I think he may have an agenda to get his mate a job. i may be wrong, but it seems like that. They seem to wheel Big Sam out every time there is a manager under pressure, and he takes great delight in sticking the knife in, in a snide way.
This morning he sneered over Everton’s dilemma, taking great delight in Marco Silva’s’ poor stats in the EPL. As Everton got rid of Sam because their poor beleaguered fans we fed up of watching crap football. He cannot seem to grasp that modern Football is an entertainment business. I think most of us would rather watch great entertaining matches rather than our team winning trophies “ugly”. Of course, we want both!

Brazil was also making mischief about Ole Gunnar Solskjaer. Saying he thought that the Manchester United job was too big for him. Another caller then pops up (Manc) and demands that Big Sam be given the biggest job in football. He kept citing that Mold to Cardiff to Man U was a step too far.

According to the ex England manager; (Did I fucking dream that???. The England fans singing the “Great Escape” tune are actually directing that at Allardyce. Fuck me, we really did have a great escape there!) The once mighty Man Utd are “in danger of relegation”. 

Yes, they have been poor and yes they have some average players. I have never thought Ashley Young being of a high enough standard to play for Man Utd, in fact there are a few not up to the standard of any top 6 team. Ashley Young? Fred? Dalot? Lingard? Shaw?

I feel sorry for Ole, there is no question that the man who has presided over the mess that Man Utd have become is of course with former accountant and investment banker with no background in Football and no clue. Mr Ed Woodward. He is no doubt very good at making money. But no so good at the most important aspect of running a football club. Having a decent team that excites the fans and wins matches.

So is there a way to make money out of this situation?

The market relating to EPL managers is “next manager to leave”
Ole has stiff competition from the afore mentioned Marco Silva at 1.8. Ole GS is 4.3 for small money with Betfair. Poch at Spurs is next in line, but Spurs chairman Levy is too shrewd and too tight to pay the severance pay.
The next fixture is a home match v Liverpool after the international break, followed by away to Norwich and then away to Bournemouth before meeting Brighton at home. I think he heeds 9 points from those matches. Can you see them getting that? I certainly can’t. I think even if the do not sack Ole, the pressure and rumours will only get worse and this price shorter.

Everton on the other hand have a home match v West Ham, then away to Brighton, home to Watford. Think Marco may get away with these kinder fixtures.
Ole is 4.5 with Paddy Power in the next EPL manager to go market
Marco Silva at 2.1. I think Ole may be odds on pretty soon. Problem is lack of liquidity at this stage.
Maybe a trade is too risky and not enough liquidity, but interesting to see how this plays out. Like I say. It’s a game of opinions.

Cheers Steve

Me,me,me,me,me,me

I guess you would be thinking with a title like this, that I have decided to write a post all about………..me. So I can remind you just how great I am. A great trader, a jolly fine chap and all round good egg. Sorry. It’s not that.

One of the proudest achievements in my life time is a by product of trading. My education business. It’s what takes up most of my “working time, it’s what drives me on and it’s something I am very passionate about.

Over 5 years ago when all this started, I never imagined the effect on my life it would have. Although I would say I “fell in to it”. Once it started I put my heart and sole into it, The people who stay usually stay a long time, and when they do move on, almost without exception get a lovely message.

So when new people join us, join our “family”. They get a warm welcome and fit seamlessly into the group. I am blessed with having some amazing people with me. The enthusiasm they show keeps it all going. It never feels stale or out of touch. There is never shortage of challenging questions to answer or problems to fix.

The big benefit to new people though is they get to tap into all this experience. I often say to people thinking about joining us. “It’s not about me. It’s not all about Steve Howe”. Yeah, I set the tone, the culture. I steer the ship and provide the guidance and answers to the tough questions. BUT, and it’s a massive BUT. I genuinely feel that if you are at the start of the learning journey, picking up a new strategy. The people best placed to help you are the ones who are 2 months, 5 months or even 12 months further along that journey. the issues you will face are fresh in their minds, the challenges are raw.

I wanted to write this to pay tribute to my community. I wanted to let the World know how awesome THEY are. It isn’t, never has been and never will be all about ME.

My Online Workshop

I have been asked repeatedly over the years if I was ever going to make my workshops available online. After many false dawns, I am very proud to announce that I have created an Online Workshop that fully integrates into my existing support packages.

In the end my ill health has caught up with me. as my hearing has deteriorated over the last 12 months I am finding it harder and harder to deliver a workshop in the size room I use. I have a solution for this, I have now got a smaller room!! The Albert Hall was just too fucking big! My workshops now cater for 8 lucky individuals.

Putting together an online workshop has posed many challenges and taken a huge amount of time and effort, I didn’t want to create something half-assed. A poor 2nd best. Btw, make no mistake that actually attending a workshop with me is, of course, a much better plan. I believe you would get more from spending a day with me than doing online learning. That’s obvious.

BUT, I have tried to stay true to what I show in the classroom, although those difficult questions being fired at me won’t be missed too much……

I don’t want to bang on about what the workshop is or isn’t here. I have created a brand new site that has a state of the art LMS platform on it that is able to deliver the workshops without clogging up my own site,
You see what’s on offer HERE

The early feedback is overwhelming positive, it comes with a full money back guarantee, and is a gateway into my network. What’s to lose?

The Social Media Conundrum

I think the was Social Media has evolved over the last decade is changing society in a way I don’t think anyone expected. One one hand it’s a brilliant tool for business and consumers alike. Especially small business who want to attract new clients. If you do not have some sort of social media presence you are at a serious disadvantage.

In this post I want to have a frank discussion about Social media and sports trading/gambling/sport.

As you know, I use Twitter and to a less extent Facebook to keep in touch with people who have followed me. I need to say straight off I detest Twitter (especially) with Facebook not too far behind. In fact, I am very close to deleting Twitter completely. Not because I get abused, in the main I don’t have too much trolling. Although as a high profile trader I get my fait share.

Some of the shite that goes in is almost unbelievable. People who are trying to raise their own profile, for their own agenda follow you, the like your posts, they add your @xxxxxxx to they posts and agree with you. So it aligns then with you. Then others with an agenda, who may want to discredit you use fake accounts. Did you know many of the Trading Facebook groups are actually seeded with people who are paid to plant posts, to say negative things about competitors to drive customers their way?
Then you have people trying to impress you. They add your name to posts that are in conflict with others so that it looks like you are on their side. It’s a crock of shit. If i ever, ever have anything to say to anyone. I will say it directly to them, and they know it will be from me, as i will sign my name to it. Anything else has nothing to do with me,

I think I have a decent moral compass. I treat people with respect. Whatever their Race, religion or sexual orientation. I would not intentionally seek to offend anyone, although if I do, I would add I think it’s ok to be offended. It’s ok to take a different view to others, as long as you don’t cross the line. The way I carry myself on the internet is as in real life. If I wouldn’t say it to your face, I wouldn’t type it. I don’t hide behind different profiles. Never have and never will.

What inspired me to write this post was a discussion I was listening to on Talksport yesterday afternoon (Sunday 25th Aug). I was on a long car journey (5 hours) and as always, tune into talk sport. There was a discussion about the racist abuse that Pogba and Rashford were being subjected to for missing penalties. I just cannot get my head around this. It makes me angry, it almost makes me ashamed of my own race.
Let me say that again. It makes me almost ashamed of my own race! Why the fuck should I feel like that? Why am I letting a few lowlife scum get into my head and let them make me feel like this? I guess I am not alone. I have a voice. I have the means to communicate with lots of people. So I feel a responsibility to speak out. If we all turn the other cheek, if we cross the road when we see injustice, then how as a society do we stop it? If we do nothing if we say nothing, what will ever change?


We also need to start voting with our feet. I am so close to this now. I can’t be done with this. Will, it hurt my business? Yes, but I think this is more important than that. By walking away am I turning the other cheek? Have I as a decent member, responsible member of our society got a duty to speak out, to challenge this vile behavior?

Why can you create an anonymous account on Twitter and then use it to abuse and terrorise, to spread filth and hatred? Why cannot Twitter make you complete a “know your customer” profile before an account is granted?

This is an incredible tool, but I feel like I need to walk away from it. If you are not part of the solution, you are part of the problem. I encourage you all to speak out too.

I’ll leave you with this. If you are a racist, homophobe or cannot tolerate people who hold a different religious view to your own. Please don’t follow me. In fact, I’ll put it in stronger terms than that.
Fuck off, get the fuck away from me. I don’t want anything to do with you.

Review of my Workshop

I was both delighted and humbled by this review from someone who I greatly admire. A young lady who had a sparkling career in professional racing. She knows her stuff and is a tremendous asset to our community.

You can read the review here https://www.greenfilly.com/steve-howe-its-a-mugs-game-workshop-review/

I just want to say that I never ask people to write reviews to say positive things about me. That’s not to say I am grateful and humbled when they do!
The reason I have linked this is to give you an impartial view from “the other side of the fence”.

I strongly advise you to follow her and read her blog regularly. She writes beautifully and talks with authority and humour about something she is very passionate about. This Lady is a rising star within our trading community. You read it here first!

You can follow Green Filly on Twitter @filly_green

The blog is https://www.greenfilly.com/blog/

Cheers
Steve

13 years

27th July 2006, exactly 12 months to the day after my Dad passed away was the day that changed everything.
After the best part of 20 years in a factory, I drove out of the gates for the last time. An emotional day, a day full of trepidation but also hope and excitement. I was free at last. Free from the “chains” of a production line, free from an alarm clock. My destiny in my own hands. No boss, No timetable and no limits to what I could do.

Being forced out by redundancy was the best way it could have happened. When you are driving to work, knowing that the amount of money you will earn will almost certainly be less than what trading would make is hard to do. It’s the very best barometer to knowing when it’s time to quit your job.

My plan was to give it 6 months and see where I was. If things started looking iffy, I could get a job. after just 2 weeks it was clear that wasn’t going to be an option. Free to trade every afternoon (and evening) my restraints were lifted and I threw myself into making as much as I could. Just in case.

So July 27th is a bittersweet day. Significant as it “freed” me. But sad as I remember my Dad. One of the last things I remember him saying to me was his advice about my blossoming betting career.
“You wanna pack that betting malarky in Son, it’s a bloody mugsgame

Wish he could see me now.

I keep going in-play​……..

No not me,!!!!!!

“I keep going in-play” is something I read on a daily basis. I have some thoughts on this and if you wish to continue reading I am happy to share them with you.
However, i must warn you that you may not like what you read. This post will divide opinion for sure.

One of the things that really sticks me is the tone of the complaint.
“I keep going in play…. It’s not my fault, I can’t help it….. everything is against me…..”
What a load of cock. You can help it, but you do it. Let me give this some “meat”.

I think many who let their trades go in-play, for whatever reason do so not because of lack of discipline, although that is a big issue for many. It’s because they either have NO PLAN, or a lack of belief in their own ability to apply the strategy they have chosen to deploy. Perhaps even that strategy is not working, or they are not applying it as was intended.
But finding something/someone else to blame is always a better option than taking responsibility for yourself isn’t it?

Is it fair to say that in society we live by sets of rules? We learn these rules from birth. Some are fundamental to our safety and well being. Let’s take driving as an example.
Most built-up areas have a 30mph speed limit. Why? It’s to keep us all safe. Now there are times where you could go much faster, maybe 70mph in a 30mph zone. But we don’t. Why not if you could do it?
Because of the consequences of what may happen.
Death, injury, getting caught!
The consequences are all dire and may have life-changing impacts on you and others.
Now I am not trying to say going in-play is a matter of life & death. But the consequences are still significant,

So the question you need to ask yourself is exactly how seriously you are taking trading. Is it a bit of fun? Is it just for an “interest”? If so, then that’s fine, as that is what you are getting.
if it a little more serious or even you are aspiring to maybe build up to trading full time. Then you need to stop and take a cold, hard and long look at yourself and what you are doing.
If you cannot find the self-control to take the loss, no matter how unpalatable the loss is. Then failure is already upon you. The only variables are how long it will be before you give up and how much money it will cost you.
If this is you I implore you to STOP. STOP trading and do some deep thinking. Get some help, get some advice. Book a call with me if you like and talk to me. No charge, no strings and no obligation. https://calendly.com/steve_mg
I may be able to help, I may not. but at least you have made a start by aknoweldging the issue are are taking some action.

We are constantly bombarded by people showing us how great they are at trading, how easy it all is blah, blah, blah.
There are not many of us talking like this are there?

My apologies for using “cock” and “meat” in the same sentence………




Webinar 31st July

You may know that I hosted a webinar in June. Just some basic principles that I apply to my own trading and I wanted to share.

The webinar was a great success and the feedback I received was overwhelmingly positive. This has inspired me to hold another one.

I have cleared a space in my diary for Wednesday evening 31st July 2019

What I found during the last webinar was the amount of questions that were flying at me. Mostly random. It seems that many of you have a thirst for information.

I would ask that if you wish to take part that you simply subscribe to my email list. Due to the GDPR rules Aweber who host my email subscriptions will send what is known as a opt in email to confirm you want to receive emails from me. I cannot resend these and you will need to confirm once you have subscribed. These will almost always end up in spam, so be warned.

A few days before the webinar I will email my whole mailing list and invite you to register with Zoom for the webinar. Places are limited.

I invite you to email me at steve@itsamugsblog.co.uk with any questions or topic you would like me to discuss. I will do my best to fit as many as I can in. I will as always answer with honesty and a smidgin of humour.

If this is something that interests you. Make sure you are on my mailing list by next weekend 27th July. If you are not sure if you are, simply drop me a line at the above email.

Lets get these questions/ Topics in!

Cheers
Steve