Here are my Portfolio bets for this weekend
Please read how I trade these markets HERE
Man Utd v Norwich: Kick Off Sat 2nd March 3:00pm
Half Time/ Full Time (HTFT) Man utd/ Man utd
Utd have been in front in 70% of their last 20 matches of teams of a similar level to Norwich. 90% of matches have been won by utd. Powerful stats. I have utd down as a 1.5 chance. Bookies offering 2 or even money.
Additional info: 7 out of the last 19 matches of grade v grade involving these teams have produced a goal in 1st 10 mins. A 37% chance of a goal in 1st 10 mins. I will be adding a “How to guide” soon to show you how to take advantage of this. There is an example HERE if you fancy a crack at it.
BET: Back Home/Home in HT/FT market @ 2 (BetVC and Betfair) Stake: 3pts
The guide as linked above for staking plan.
Fiorentina v Chievo k.o Sat 2nd March 14:00
HT/FT Home/Home. I have this at around 3.7 but it’s available to LAY on Betfair at @2.36
BET: LAY Home/Home @ 2.36 Stake: 2 pts liability.
Won: +1.4 pts
Catania v Inter k.o. Sun 3rd March 14:00
HT/FT Draw/Away. My stats (BetFormPro) are flagging this up at around 3.45. The bookies who always know better think it’s 7 (7.4 Betfair)
BET: Back Draw/Away in HT/FT market 7 available generally with bookmakers. 7.4 on Betfair is slightly better than that after commission.(7.03) You may get even better. Stake 1pt
Malaga v Ath Madrid k.o Sun 3rd March 18:00
HT/FT Home/Home This is popping up at just over 11/10. The odds on offer of 5 seems huge value
BET: Malaga/Malaga in HT/FT market. @5 Stake 1pt
Borussia Dortmund v Hannover 96 k.o Sat 2nd March 14:30
HT/FT Home/Home Dortmund gave probably the best team in Europe (Bayern Munich) a really good game in the German Cup an wednesday night (away), narrowly losing 1-0 Hannover won 5-1 last weekend and on the face of it are in good form. However, their away form is poor. Everything I have stats wise points to good value backing Dortmund/Dortmund.
BET: Borussia Dortmund/Borussia Dortmund in HT/FT market @ 1.85 BetVC or 1.91 Betfair Stake: 2pts
Won: +1.7 pts
Total points staked = 9
I use BetformPro to help me generate the stats I use to form a tissue price, it’s the tissue price that determines if I think there is value in the bet. What I have found here is the tip of the iceberg.