The first match to get underway was Inter v Juventus. This was always going to be a tough one. Advised at 2.45 – It drifted out to 2.8 on Betfair and 2.7 on VCBet. Juventus scored after 3mins. This put us on the back foot from the start. Inter equalised after 54 mins. I though we were in with a shout. Unfortunately this was short lived as Juve got a 2nd and held on until the end. A loss of 2 pts.
The “Banker” of the week was Bayer Leverkusen away to Dusseldorf. I said in my initial analysis that I thought we were getting 10/11 for a 4/9 shot. After taking the lead after 22 mins I was disappointed to see it 1-1 at HT. I didn’t take too long for Leverkusen to find their rhythm after the break. It ended 1-4. A profit of 2.73 points
The other Bundesliga match was Freiburg v Borussia MGB. 0-0 at HT I feared the worst. My fears were founded as it ended 2-0, with the 2nd goal coming in injury time. These bets are based on value. They sometimes lose. This is such an occasion. A Loss of 2 pts
On to La Liga where we had 2 matches
Vallacano v Malaga was a 15:00 ko. I spotted big value in Malaga in the MO market. My 3 season sheet had them at 3.32 and the last 10 match query against similar graded teams had them even shorter at 2.67. An average of this is 3. Best M.O was 4.75. My original bet which I wrote out was Malaga 2pts away win at 4.75. When looking for confirmation I discovered that Vallacano had won 3 out of the last 6 against similar graded teams (“B” Grade). This rang a few alarm bells. I down graded the bet to 1spt and DNB at 3.5. I basically erased 5 pts profit as the game ended 1-3 to Malaga. Hindsight is a beautiful thing isn’t it? The ethos that has guided me though my traded career has always been “protect your bank”. It sucks sometimes! A profit of 2.5 pts.
The evening k.o was Levante v Sevilla. I advised a 2pt bet on Levante at 2.55. They were a big drifter and by k.o were 7/4 (2.75). I know Anth got on at 2.88 (he told me on Twitter) My cautios approach here was expensive also. In MO I had Levante as a 2.06 over 3 seasons and 1.82 last 10 matches. In the last 10 homes against similar grades Levante had won 6 and drawn 2. In the last 10 away matches Sevilla had won 1 and drew 4. This was screaming out as huge value. My 2pt DNB yielded a profit of 3.1 pts.
Last game of the weekend was Aston Villa v Liverpool. Always going to be a tough one considering Villa’s position. However I considered the value big enough to give it a crack. When Villa took the lead the DNB price was around fluctuating between 1.64 – 1.72. I took advantage of this and took out my liability. To try to add trades like this into the results sheet would be a nightmare. The bets are stand alone bets. However, there is an opportunity in many of the matches to reduce liabilities or lock in profit. I certainly do it. However, the Bet goes down as a 1pt loss.
So overall a profit on the week of 3.33pts. An overall profit of 16.48 pts.
Perhaps the muppet on the Bet Angel forum who is trolling my recommendation of the BetFormPro software, based on my “admission” that I personally know the vendors of this software should stop taking the bets straight from the free newsletter that their sister site produces. I believe that you get out what you put in. I put in a few hours work a week on these and you can see the results. Lazy guessers like this make me smile. You never see them do anything. Egged on by other clueless guessers they just poke fun at others who have the balls to stick there neck out. You guys know why I recommend the BetFormPro software. I use it because it works for me. I have also explained why I have affiliate links. It means I can keep the site FREE. If anyone thinks I make loads of money from them think again. But I don’t see why I should be out of pocket because I help others win money. If you don’t want to try the software don’t bother. I couldn’t care less. If you try it and can’t make it work during the free trail, just cancel. If you are just too lazy (a bit like the troll I guess) then just use my selections while I am posting them. If you, like him think I am trying to trick you in some way and doubt my integrity, then jog on, nothing to interest you here 🙂 It’s all very simple.
The guys who know me from the BA forum. You’re very welcome here. I won’t be posting on the BA forum anymore. Like the troll says. I have spat my dummy out and took my toys away.
Sorry about the rant. I am not having some little turd taking the piss out of me without a response. I won’t respond on the BA forum out of respect for Peter Webb (who I also know btw).