After last weeks great start I am under pressure to deliver the goods this week. The idea of having a portfolio of bets as opposed to random trades popping up all over the place is to add structure and direction. In short a “Plan”. If you have structure and are getting “value”. There is no reason why we shouldn’t see our banks increase. Here’s this weeks trades:
Match: Serie A: Udinese v Roma K.O. Sat 9th March 19:45 GMT
HT/FT: Draw/Home My 5 season sheet has D/H at 4.5, the shorter more accurate forecast is 4. In the last 3 H2H has seen 2 x D/H results. VCbet is offering 6/1 and Betfair is 7 with a big gap to Lay price (8.8) Betdaq is best price at 7.4 with the lower rate 3% commission that’s 7.18
Bet: Draw/Udinese @ 7 in HT/FT Stake: 1pt
Match: Serie A: Cagliari v Sampdoria K.O. Sun 10th March 14:00 GMT
HT/FT: Home/Home: I have this down as a 50% chance of H/H. The odds on offer are 11/4 with several bookies Oddchecker. Betfair are 3.95 less comm (3.725) Betdaq are top price again at 4.1 (3.977 after comm)
BET: Cagliari/Cagliari @ 4.1 with Betdaq in HT/FT: Stake: 2pts
Match: Serie A: Lazio v Fiorentina: K.O. Sun 10th March 19:45 GMT
Draw No Bet: Lazio have avoided defeat in 8/10 games against similar opposition at home. While Fiorentina have won only twice in the last 10. The H2H home and away shows only 1 Fiorentina victory in the last 7, that was at Fiorentina.. The 1.8 on offer at Corals & Stan James (Betdaq are 1.8 as i write too) seem generous. You may get a better price with Betfair, but the market is gappy.
BET: Lazio DNB @ 1.8 with various in Draw No Bet Market: Stake: 3pts
Match: Bundesliga: Freiburg v Wolfsburg K.O. Sat 9th March 14:30 GMT
BTTS “YES”: Freiburg have failed to score only once in last 10 against similar opposition, whilst conceding in all but 3 of those matches. Wolfsburg have scored in 6 of the last 10 away against similar grade while keeping a clean sheet in only 1. It seems certain that Freiburg will score. The bet comes down to will Wolfsburg? The odds on offer are 2.0. Even though Wolfsburg are not prolific goalscorers away from home. Freiburg’s leaky defence may give them a hand there. I am willing to risk 1pt what they will.
BET: BTTS “YES” @ 2 with Corals in BTTS Market: Stake: 1pt
Match: Bundesliga: Hannover 96 v Eintract Frankfurt K.O. Sun 9th March 14:30 GMT
BTTS NO”: Hannover have managed to score in all of the last 10 home games against similar level opposition. However, they have also managed to keep 4 clean sheets.On the other hand in 7/10 of Frankfurt’s similarly graded away games have resulted in one of the teams involved failing to score. At 2.62 Coral’s are way of the mark again.Some of the other bookies have it as low as 2.24. Betfair are 2.58 and Betdaq are 2.63. My tissue has it priced at 1.84. There is enough value to risk 1pt.
BET: BTTS “NO” @ 2.62 with Corals in BTTS Market: Stake: 1pt
A total of 8 points staked. Good luck if you decide to get involved. If you are new to the Portfolio bets you can get some more detailed help as to how these bets are structured within the “Portfolio Bets” tab at the top of the page. Each bet has a guide sheet to help. The staking and bank management advice can be found HERE