Racing Trades 1st April -Preview Video & Evening Review

If you want to see how to get the best out of my trades see HERE

Back2Lays

3:05 Plumpton: Risk: 4/1 Arbers. 5.3/5.2 stop loss at 6.6/6.4

3:15 Fakenham: Riddestown 5/1 – 6 stop loss 7.4

3:40 Huntingdon: Ardmaddy: 6/1 6.8 stop loss 8.4

4:00 Redcar: Lady MacDuff 10/1 8.8 stop loss 11

4:30 Redcar Morocco: 4/1 5.3 – stop loss 6.6

That’s it. Videos to follow. Will be in 2 parts, both live by 11.30

Evening Review – Racing Trades

Easter Monday is the busiest racing day of the year. I am knackered! But it’s not the same as being knackered after doing a 12 hour shift in a factory or Hospital, so no moaning here.
First up was Risk in the 3:05 Plumpton. As you will see in my preview video (part 1) I have my money up in the queue at 5.3. It was not taken, except for a few quid. When I got to the live show Risk was trading at 4.3. I cancelled the trade. I have said quiet often, but am happy to repeat myself. We are momentum trading a trend with these trades. If the price drops that far, then swings around so the momentum is against us, when the trade gets taken we are in a bad place. That’s why I cancelled. It goes down as a no trade. Just as it would if it had steamed into 2.1. In fact we had a horse like that last week.

Second up was Riddlestown at Fakenham. We were on at 6. A great start to the month, as it was nicely backed into 4.1 for an ace profit (does anyone say “Ace” these days???) of £44. It won too!
Next was Huntingdons’ 3:40 and Ardmaddy. early doors was 6.8 I closed at 5.1 for a nice £33. So far so good…….

Lady MacDuff in the 4:00 at Redcar was a horse I had high hopes for, I bigged it up this morning. Backed at 8.8 (Did you spot the 10/1 on offer at a couple of bookies?) it actually went as low as 6, before bouncing. There was a non runner with a reduction factor of 3.3% reducing our price to 8.5. I could have got out at 8 but messed it up and ended up closing at scratch.

The last runner was 30 mins later in the 4:30 at Redcar. Morocco. It didn’t really move very far all day. I eneded up closing as it started to drift at 5.6 for a £5 loss.
Overall a good day with a profit of just over £70.

Video Previews – Highs and lows

I think it’s a worthwhile exercise to quickly go back and look at what I said this morning and see what actually happened. This is good practice. I have done this since I started betting seriously. What it does is refines your technique. If you think one thing and something completely different happens you need to go back and put it right so it doesn’t happen again. Of course it’s not a simple as that, but it defiantly helps. If you are doing stuff right. Do it again!

1:40 Hunt: Bee Cee Pee M around 6.4 into 5.5 hit 1.07 in play

2:20 Warwick:  Intense Feeling 2:02 into 1.6 – Won

2:30 Redcar Phoenix Clubs 8.4 – 7 – 3rd – 2.32 in play

2:35 Plumpton: No No Cardinal 6 out to 11 – got it wrong about fav too

2:40 Ubaldo Des Menhines – stayed steady

3:10 Hunt: Honest John drifted badly

3:10 Yarmouth: Cash is King was about the same

3:25 Newcastle: Avanos 9.2 drifted to 16

3:30 Redcar: Go Go Green 4.1 into 2.92 wins

4:15 Fakenham: Snake Charmer 9.2 – 10.5

4:45 Fakenham -Flaming george 4.1 into 2.68  – I did say “forget it the volume is too low” – bugger

5:10 5.10 yarmouth  Sehnsuct  4.6 – 4.2

A bit patchy a few lemons and a few nice moves

Hope you all had a good day : MG

 

Racing Trades / Preview Video & Evening Update 28th March

If you want to see how to get the best out of my trades see HERE

Back2Lays

2:20 Ffos Las: Pension Plan 15/2 for Arbs: 8.4 stop loss 10.

2:40 Wolverhampton: Mazij 4/1: 5.5 stop loss 6.8

3:50 Wolves: Storming 3/1: 4.2 stop loss 5.2

4:10 Ludlow: Ballywatt: 5/1 – 5.8 stop loss 7.2 – Moved down to 5 not matched. Bet cancelled – may bounce and momentum will be against us.

4:55 Wolves: Local Singer 6/1 6.8 stop loss 8.4 – Not matched: Moved to 6.4 stop loss now 8

 

Evening Review:

Well I was concerned about a poor days racing at my 2 least favourite tracks. It ended up one of the best days for the Racing trades.

First up was Pension Plan in the Ffos Las 2:20 A huge move from 8.4 right into 5.3 – It won too. A welcome profit of £55.56.
Next was Mazij at Wolves. This one only managed a couple of ticks right at the end., but a small profit is better than a loss!.

The 3:50 Wolves saw Storming come “storming in” :0 From 4.2 into 2.84 and another big pay day of £45.
The next Trade should have been Ballywatt in the 4:10 at Ludlow. Unfortunately I didn’t get matched on Betfair. Although I did on Betdaq. If you have watched the preview video, you will have seen me cancel the trade as I did not want to catch it on the bounce when the momentum was against me. It went in to 4.7.That’s the way things go. Like I say, I want my trades to be honest and fair. That’s more important than an extra few quid.
The final trade was Local Singer in the 4:55 at Wolves. I did not get matched at the advised 6.8, but I made a call based on the current market and moved my trade down to 6.4. You will see this in the video and the amended post. Apologies if you didn’t get matched.
This was another beauty and went from the 6.4 into 4.3 for another £46.

The daily total reached just over £150 and the total for the month just shy of £500. Not to bad for free!

Here’s a video from earlier. It’s a one horse market. Slow starter but got there in the end,

Racing Trades 21st March

If you want to see how to get the best out of my trades see HERE

Back2Lay

Chepstow 2:10 Oh Suzannah 5/1 for the Arbers otherwise 6.2 stop loss 7.8

Chepstow 4:55 Clear Mix 8/1 8.4 stop loss 10.5 – very tough market. I have some money in queue at 8.4. If I don’t get matched it will be a no bet

As tough a day as I have seen for a while. Uncompetitive races, small fields, lots of odds on chances. Very poor liquidity. I don’t put up bets for fun, they are serious opportunities to take profit. If I don’t see that I will not risk my bank just have have something to do. GL MG

UPDATE: 12:00pm Clear mix is now 7.0. I did not get ch, It goes down as no bet, I have cancelled my order, if the momentum changes we are in trouble anyway.

I have added a preview video of todays racing for those interested. I talk about how I approach each race.

Evening Review

Very poor racing today, we only had 1 bet as I said earlier in my 12:00pm update. Clear mix drifted badly and would have gone to the stop loss. Momentum is everything in these types of trades. If the price moved for us and then changes direction it rarely comes back.

Oh Suzannah looked promising for much of the morning, once the live shows came it was static before drifting a few ticks. It goes down as a loss of £6.We live to fight another day MG

Racing Trades 20th March – Evening review

If you want to see how to get the best out of my trades see HERE

Back2Lay

Warwick 4:05: Madame Allsorts: 8/1 for the arbers – 7.8 and a stop loss of 9.8

Haydock 5:20: Operatic heights 4/1 bookies. 5.0 and stop loss at 6.2

Poor day, only 2 cards and very few runners. This doesn’t suit this style of trading. I have money in the queues at these prices. It will go down as no bet if i am not matched. Gives everyone a fairer chance then. I don’t want to you to think you’re missing out !

Evening Review:

Nothing to exciting today, you may want to see the video I posted earlier where i previewed todays racing LINK. There are a couple of beauties in there. Our Joey 10-7 and I am Colin which I mentioned I wanted to Lay at 2.96 – it hit over 5. Grrrrrrrrrrrrr

Back to the trades we did have. Madame Allsorts was a nice trade, The move didn’t happen until late on, I have the video of this I may post later, it’s well boring though. 7.8 to 5.3 ain’t bad in anyones book. A profit of £42.

Our second runner was Operatic Heights, this moved in before drifting badly. It hit the stop loss and the loss was -£19.33

Our daily profit was just short of £23. Weekly goes to over £130. Monthly pushing toward £350.

Racing Trades: 16th March – Daily & weekly review

If you want to see how to get the best out of my trades see HERE

The post Cheltenham hangover has arririved. As bad a days racing on a Saturday know to man.

Back2Lays

Uttoxeter 3:50 Major Malarkey: 17/2 – 7/1 for the arbers. 9.2 can be squeezed at Betdaq. 9 on Betfair. The stop loss is at 11

Uttoxeter 4:25: Galway Jack: 11/4 for Arbers: 3.5 – Stop loss 4.4

 

The fields are devastated by Non runners. This makes many markets very hard to read. We’ll keep it tight today. MG

Daily review

A quiet day. Alot quieter than last Saturday, that’s for sure!

Two trades today. The first was Major Malarky, backed at 9.2 and steadily moved to to 8 just before the start.  Profit of £14.25. No drama

The 2nd Galway Jack was a little more exciting, very well backed, the only question was when to exit. It did the usual “jigging” about towards the end, but I managed to close at 2.92 -I did go lower, but I’m happy with 2.92, Nearly £19 on this. For a daily profit of £33

Weekly review

After a little persuasion I restarted the Racing Trades on Wednesday, so not a full week. This week we had 10 back trades, of which 8 were winning trades. The profit was £125. We only had 1 Lay trade, which was a winner too for £36. That makes the profit for the week of £161. Not too bad. Total for the Month is £240. No reason to suppose we cannot double that, considering I put in a £100 loss last Saturday when the site went down (Betfair) and we missed a few days at the start of the week. I’m going to stick in a target to aim for of £350. thanks for your support. MG

Portfolio Bets: WE 10th March Review

Five bets for this weekends Portfolio.

1st was Freiburg v Wolfsburg on Friday night and a BTTS “Yes” trade. A great start after Freiburg scored after 2 mins, 5 mins later it was 1-1 and the bet was landed for a 1pt profit. The game finished 2-5. In my write up I made reference to Freiburgs’ “leaky” defence. Crikey, it was leaky wasn’t it?

Second match was in Serie A; Udinese v Roma and we were hoping for a Draw/Home outcome. Roma took the lead in the 21st minute. Udinese looked lack lustre and I feared we would lose this one even then. It was still 0-1 at HT and the bet lost. In the 2nd half Udinese pulled a goal back, then had a player sent off. Ended 1-1. A loss of 1pt.

Next Cagliari v Sampdoria. We had a HT/FT Home/Home and 2pts riding on it. Cagliari scored after 18 mins and held on until HT. There were plenty of changes to lock in some profit on this game, before HT and after. With half the bet in the bag the rest was downhill. After the 2nd goal after 52 minutes it seemed unlikely we would lose on this. It ended 3-1 with Sampdoria scoring a late consolation goal. A cracking 6.2 points profit.

Short after this was Hannover 96 v Eintract Frankfurt in the German Bundesliga. We were hoping for a BTTS “NO” outcome and had 1pt on it. In these matches you just keep checking live score and hope you see 0-0. Well I did, and I did. It ended 0-0. Another 1.62 points in the old satchel.

Last up on Sunday night was another Serie A match between Lazio and Fiorentina. I had this as Lazio DNB. A new one for the Portfolio.  When Fiorentina scored after 21 mins I knew we were up against it. The 2nd goal shortly after HT sealed our fate. A loss of 3pts on my banker.

So overall a profit of 4.82 points adding to the 4.1 last week for overall total of 9.82 points. Continue reading

Here We Go!

Welcome to my new blog.

The blog is about primarily one thing. Helping ordinary people of all skill levels to take some money back from the bookies! The biggest gambling website  in the world (Betfair.com) has 3.8 million users. Less than 500 of those pay the higher rates of premium charge. I am one of those users. I guess that makes me ok at this kind of stuff.

Come on the journey with me and I’ll show you some of the ways I use my knowledge of the betting markets and understanding of what happens within these markets to take some money back. I intend this blog to be very interactive. I want your questions. I will give you honest and straightforward answers based on what I know. There will be articles, strategies, videos, how to guides and along the way a bit of banter. But make no mistake. This is a serious business. I welcome you and hope you enjoy your stay. Most important of all, leave here with a small amount more knowledge that you arrived with.