Racing Trades, Preview Video & Evening Review: 5th April

If you want to see how to get the best out of my trades see HERE

I have money in the queues at all these prices. If ALL of my money is not matched the trade goes down as no trade. If it goes significantly lower, I will cancel the trade if the momentum goes against it.

Back Trades

2:10 Leicester Posh Bounty: 3/1 4.1 – stop loss 5.1

4:05 Leicester: Greensward 11/2: 6.4  stop loss 8

4:30 Sedgefield: Favourable Fellow 11/2: 5.5 stop loss 7

That’s all the trades

Evening review:
I am really so this is a very quick review. Mrs MG has insisted I take her out tonight.
Absolute nightmare with both the trades that were matched. Unfortunately Favourable Fellow was not and it was a big mover. Typical. Apologies for the rubbish advice.
On the positive side there were a few good movers in the video preview.

The warning about Scargill proved right in the Posh Bounty trade. Wish I had listened to myself! Grrrrrr

The highlights were:
Super Duty 6.4 to 5.4
Ballymartin King traded below the 8.6 before bouncing back out.
Heyward Boy drifted badly during the live show. It was overbet and the price bounced.
Croco Bay went from 10.5 to 8.8. It won! Formulation was about where it started
Smoothtalkingrascal went off at 9.5, it drifted slightly. But it won as well.
Mists of Time 4.5 after the withdrawal of Azelle into 2.90
Exotic Man 6.6 into 4.2
Mombassa 4.2 – 3.7 – The “weak” fav High Troja came in too. 3.15 into 2.9 – it won
West End Lad 6.6 – eventually drifted slightly to 7.2 – but it won.

Shame I wasn’t trying to pick winners!
 

Racing Trades, Preview Video & Evening Review: 4th April

If you want to see how to get the best out of my trades see HERE

I have money in the queues at all these prices. If ALL of my money is not matched the trade goes down as no trade. If it goes significantly lower, I will cancel the trade if the momentum goes against it.

Back Trades

3:20 Taunton: Alasi: 5/1 (11/2 in a place) 6 -stop loss  7.4. The market is gappy. There is money below this but may bounce back.

4:05 Lingfield: Star of Rohm 9/2 5.5 stop loss 6.8

All trades live

Preview Video:

 Evening Review:

A disapointing day for the racing trades. Our first runner was in the 3:20 Taunton. Alasi did not get matched at the price I adviced. When the live show started I cancelled the trade. It subsequently drifted back up past the advised price. I think if you did (against my advice) take a lower price there would have been plenty of opportunity to take a small profit. It didn’t go far past the 6 mark. Goes down as no trade.

The 2nd runner, Star of Rohm ran in the 4:05 Lingfield. It ended up as a drifter due to the strength of other runners. Once the drift stared it quickly ran into the stop loss for a £19 loss.

We are still well in front on the week, but been a shocking last couple of days. Like I say, these trades are a long term project. I am very confident of turning a healthy profit every month.

Review of preview: 

I always find in beneficial to go back over what I thought before I knew what would happen 🙂 This helps to hone your skills. If you got it very wrong, find out why. If you got it right, do it again. That’s a good way to improve i think.

Lets blast through and see what happened.

2:10 taunton. Bach on Tow – 8.6 into 5.1 – Won

2:20 Ling. Shirataki 4.6 into 3.85 -won – Gabrials Hope 8.8 into 6.4 – 2nd

3:55 Taunton: Benbane Head. There were many non runners taking the 11 down to 6.33 . It went down as low as 5 and finished 3rd.

4:05 Ling was the Star of Rohm trade. I mentioned in the video that Hard Walnut looked like it may threaten. Well it did. It came in from  6.4 into 4.6 and won. Gutting.

5:05 taunton. This is what I said. “Benedictus caught my eye, but it has had only £600 traded on it, so you can’t take it seriously”. Hmmmmm, Perhaps I should have. It was backed from 16 into 9.8 and went on to win.

5:15 Lingfield, Shalwa. 18 mins in on the video (yawn) I gave some comprehensive reasons about this and the reasons why I didn’t put it up as a lay. well it carried on drifting from 2.1 out to 3.25. It was unplaced.

5:20 Wolves. Ice Magic was a hugh drifter from 7.6 to 16.5. Manx Missile 3.9 to 5.5. Couldn’t have been more wrong about this race.

5:35 Taunton- Dragons Den came in a couple of ticks.

Not too bad overall. I think there are a couple of good explanations buried underneath all that waffle 🙂

 

 

Racing Trades 1st April -Preview Video & Evening Review

If you want to see how to get the best out of my trades see HERE

Back2Lays

3:05 Plumpton: Risk: 4/1 Arbers. 5.3/5.2 stop loss at 6.6/6.4

3:15 Fakenham: Riddestown 5/1 – 6 stop loss 7.4

3:40 Huntingdon: Ardmaddy: 6/1 6.8 stop loss 8.4

4:00 Redcar: Lady MacDuff 10/1 8.8 stop loss 11

4:30 Redcar Morocco: 4/1 5.3 – stop loss 6.6

That’s it. Videos to follow. Will be in 2 parts, both live by 11.30

Evening Review – Racing Trades

Easter Monday is the busiest racing day of the year. I am knackered! But it’s not the same as being knackered after doing a 12 hour shift in a factory or Hospital, so no moaning here.
First up was Risk in the 3:05 Plumpton. As you will see in my preview video (part 1) I have my money up in the queue at 5.3. It was not taken, except for a few quid. When I got to the live show Risk was trading at 4.3. I cancelled the trade. I have said quiet often, but am happy to repeat myself. We are momentum trading a trend with these trades. If the price drops that far, then swings around so the momentum is against us, when the trade gets taken we are in a bad place. That’s why I cancelled. It goes down as a no trade. Just as it would if it had steamed into 2.1. In fact we had a horse like that last week.

Second up was Riddlestown at Fakenham. We were on at 6. A great start to the month, as it was nicely backed into 4.1 for an ace profit (does anyone say “Ace” these days???) of £44. It won too!
Next was Huntingdons’ 3:40 and Ardmaddy. early doors was 6.8 I closed at 5.1 for a nice £33. So far so good…….

Lady MacDuff in the 4:00 at Redcar was a horse I had high hopes for, I bigged it up this morning. Backed at 8.8 (Did you spot the 10/1 on offer at a couple of bookies?) it actually went as low as 6, before bouncing. There was a non runner with a reduction factor of 3.3% reducing our price to 8.5. I could have got out at 8 but messed it up and ended up closing at scratch.

The last runner was 30 mins later in the 4:30 at Redcar. Morocco. It didn’t really move very far all day. I eneded up closing as it started to drift at 5.6 for a £5 loss.
Overall a good day with a profit of just over £70.

Video Previews – Highs and lows

I think it’s a worthwhile exercise to quickly go back and look at what I said this morning and see what actually happened. This is good practice. I have done this since I started betting seriously. What it does is refines your technique. If you think one thing and something completely different happens you need to go back and put it right so it doesn’t happen again. Of course it’s not a simple as that, but it defiantly helps. If you are doing stuff right. Do it again!

1:40 Hunt: Bee Cee Pee M around 6.4 into 5.5 hit 1.07 in play

2:20 Warwick:  Intense Feeling 2:02 into 1.6 – Won

2:30 Redcar Phoenix Clubs 8.4 – 7 – 3rd – 2.32 in play

2:35 Plumpton: No No Cardinal 6 out to 11 – got it wrong about fav too

2:40 Ubaldo Des Menhines – stayed steady

3:10 Hunt: Honest John drifted badly

3:10 Yarmouth: Cash is King was about the same

3:25 Newcastle: Avanos 9.2 drifted to 16

3:30 Redcar: Go Go Green 4.1 into 2.92 wins

4:15 Fakenham: Snake Charmer 9.2 – 10.5

4:45 Fakenham -Flaming george 4.1 into 2.68  – I did say “forget it the volume is too low” – bugger

5:10 5.10 yarmouth  Sehnsuct  4.6 – 4.2

A bit patchy a few lemons and a few nice moves

Hope you all had a good day : MG

 

Racing Trades 27th March & Racing Preview Video – Evening Review

If you want to see how to get the best out of my trades see HERE

Back2Lays

Wetherby 4:30: Rebel Swing: 7/1 for the arbers: 8.6 stop loss 10.5

Southwell 5:30 Al Amaan: 3/1 4.3 stop loss 5.4

Lay2Backs

Southwell 3:35 LAY Hanna Turn @ 1.9 stop loss 1.77

 

Evening Review:

First I’ll rip though the racing trades. Hannahs Turn was a nice drifter went out to around 2.2 before coming in close to the start. I got out easily at 2.14 to make £23 profit.

The first Back Rebel Swing looked unlikely to get matched at one time. But even close to the start 8.6 was availablr. It flirted with that price before moving down a few ticks to make £12.

The 2nd of the backs looked promising, it went in as low as 3.85 before bouncing. I closed for a 2 tick profit as I could see the favourite was being backed in. It made £4.

Overall not too bad, the daily profit was nearly £40.

I think the preview video through up a couple of gems.The 1st one I mentioned Special mix in the 2:20 was a drifter unfortunately, but 10 – 12.5 is not the end of the world. Global Flyer in the 2:50 Weth went from 10 to 7, Neptune Equester was backed as soon as Brian Ellison had winner in the 2:20. It cam e in from 4.2 to as low as 3.45. It drifted back out before the off. But went on to win.

My fancy for Rylee Mooch in the 4:05 Lingfield was well founded. It was backed from 4.9 into 3.8.

If you think the preview videos are worthwhile, and you get something from them, please vote on the poll in the sidebar. If you think I am wasting my time, your vote to say they are not helping you would also be appreciated. The pools are a good way for me to see what my readers want to see from me. Cheers MG

 

Racing Trades & Preview Video 26th March

If you want to see how to get the best out of my trades see HERE

Back2Lays
3:30 Southwell: Rambo Will 4/1 if you want to arb. 5.2 Stop Loss of 6.4

3:40 Fontwell: Peut Etre Sivola 7/1: 7.6 : stop loss at 9.6

4:40 Fontwell: Tchang Goon 7/1: 8.2: Stop loss at 10

Video Preview:

Evening Review:

Racing trades: The first one was a beauty, which was just as well considering what came next. There was a small reduction Factor of 4.5% on Rambo Will, this meant the odds were reduced to 4.87. The late money came and an easy exit of 3.5 was achieved. A nice profit of just short of £40.
The other 2 trades were both looking good after an hour or so, but gambles on other horses later on in both races saw them hit the stop losses. They both ran decent enough races. All 3 runners today were placed. Not that that makes any difference! Miraculously we came out of today with £3 profit. More luck than judgement I think. This month is turning out to be a toughie.

Video Preview:
Here are some of the observations I made this morning. It didn’t go exactly how I thought, but I hope I pointed you in the right direction on these.
2:20 Gabriel the Duke 2.0 into 1.7
2:30 Thereabouts (Luke Morris) 3.8 into 2.9
3:00 Lay Indias Song. 2.35 out to 2.96
3:20: Abhaarth 11- 7.2
3:50 Buy Art 2.62 into 2.02
4:20: Dutch Old Master 4. 7 – 2.49
5:00: Cecily Parsley 9The Hugh Taylor horse – 1.80 to 2.08 in place market

If you pick your way through the waffle there were a few good pointers again.:)
Cheers MG

Here We Go!

Welcome to my new blog.

The blog is about primarily one thing. Helping ordinary people of all skill levels to take some money back from the bookies! The biggest gambling website  in the world (Betfair.com) has 3.8 million users. Less than 500 of those pay the higher rates of premium charge. I am one of those users. I guess that makes me ok at this kind of stuff.

Come on the journey with me and I’ll show you some of the ways I use my knowledge of the betting markets and understanding of what happens within these markets to take some money back. I intend this blog to be very interactive. I want your questions. I will give you honest and straightforward answers based on what I know. There will be articles, strategies, videos, how to guides and along the way a bit of banter. But make no mistake. This is a serious business. I welcome you and hope you enjoy your stay. Most important of all, leave here with a small amount more knowledge that you arrived with.