It’s early days in the BBC Sports Personality Of The Year market. But it’s worth considering and I like to take part. It has been a profitable event for me over the years, and it’s fun to work out over the year.
There are big events that dominate the winners of this event. If you look at previous winners over the years you will see what these are.
Olympic Gold medel winners – Multiple medal winners do best
The British winners of the worlds top sporting events that historically we never do well at. The Tour De France, Wimbledon, Golf Majors and Formula 1.
Now, there is no Olympics this year, and although we had a couple of good results in the Winter Olympics – this event hasn’t really caught the imagination of the public. After Andy Murray’s Wimbledon win and Brad’s Tour de France – that feat has lost some of it’s Kudos. Then we have AP McCoy’s Grand National win, and don’t forget the “freak” event of Frankie Dettori and his magnificent 7 over a decade ago. One of the things that you must factor into this market is the word “personality” – Now Chris Froome is near the top of the betting, he has an excellent chance of winning the Tour De France (again) – but unlike Bradley Wiggins does not have much of a personality
So what’s happening this year in the sporting Calendar that could give a unlikely winner?
Well the market hasn’t really got a clear favourite, Lizzy Yarnold is 2nd fav (who?) exactly…. Ronnie O’Sullivan is there too. Now Ronnie has a huge personality, but he has done it all in his sport so what makes him stand out?
There may well be someone who does something amazing that will feature in the betting. Like Rory winning all 4 majors. Or Steven Gerrard lifting the world Cup after scoring a hat rick in the final. Or Wazza crying like a baby when he misses a penalty that stops England beating Germany in the final. You get the picture.
Here is the recent winners:
But as it stands I have someone in mind, and have opened a position.
Lewis Hamilton. let me explain my thought process here. Now Lewis was denied the title the year he won the F1 crown by Sir Chris Hoy – and rightly so. But love him or loathe him, he certainly has a personality. I think as he has matured he is more likeable, and his gorgeous and very popular girlfriend Nicole Scherzinger does him no harm at all. But what about his chances of lifting the F1 crown this year? I am typing this up during the Malaysian GP – He is winning it very easliy. His car is obviously very strong and his rivals seem to be way behind. This happens in F1, but by the time they catch up he may be too far clear. I haven’t managed to get a load on, but has some at 9’s down to 8’s. I am sure there will be lots of chances to trade out over the summer, to at least get my stake back.
This is the sort of trading that isn’t that hard to work out. Give it a try!